OO 5377 · SAF → DEN

departs 3:22 PM MT · arrives 4:55 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at SAF that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ SAF usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAF (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.14 in

DEN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5377 · SAF → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?