OO 5391 · COS → DEN

departs 6:32 PM MT · arrives 7:45 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts −22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at COS that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ COS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts35 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.71 in

DEN (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5391 · COS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?