OO 5400 · COS → DEN

departs 10:23 AM MT · arrives 11:38 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 38 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at COS that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts38 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.72 in

DEN (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5400 · COS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?