OO 5403 · ORD → GSP

departs 1:55 PM CT · arrives 5:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to GSP?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GSP

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.01 in

GSP (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5403 · ORD → GSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSP?