OO 5437 · ORD → CHA

took off 7:13 AM CT · landed 9:25 AM ET (scheduled 6:52 AM CT → 9:34 AM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CHA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHA

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.14 in

CHA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5437 · ORD → CHA

Odds over time

How late did it get to CHA?