OO 5456 · SFO → EUG

took off 9:05 AM PT · landed 10:16 AM PT (scheduled 9:08 AM PT → 11:06 AM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to EUG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Arrivals into EUG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EUG (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5456 · SFO → EUG

Odds over time

How late did it get to EUG?