OO 5470 · ORD → GEG

took off 10:19 AM CT · landed 12:01 PM PT (scheduled 10:25 AM CT → 12:45 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to GEG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.95 in

GEG (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5470 · ORD → GEG

Odds over time

How late did it get to GEG?