Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5478
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 5478 · LIT → IAH
departs 5:23 PM CT · arrives 7:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 35%
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at IAH that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LIT (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.