OO 5485 · MSN → DEN

departs 5:57 PM CT · arrives 7:47 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MSN that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ MSN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.34 in

DEN (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5485 · MSN → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?