OO 5544 · ORD → CID

departs 4:24 PM CT · arrives 5:42 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CID?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at CID that day

↓ CID usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.55 in

CID (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5544 · ORD → CID

Odds over time

How late will it get to CID?