OO 5546 · DEN → COS

departs 3:35 PM MT · arrives 4:32 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±6 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to COS?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 40 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at COS that day

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ COS usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.35 in

COS (destination) Gusts40 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.83 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5546 · DEN → COS

Odds over time

How late will it get to COS?