OO 5574 · ORD → SGF

departs 4:02 PM CT · arrives 5:38 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.01 in

SGF (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling10,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5574 · ORD → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?