OO 5626 · ORD → DAY

departs 8:45 AM CT · arrives 11:03 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DAY more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±2 pts +24 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DAY?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAY

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.90 in

DAY (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5626 · ORD → DAY

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAY?