Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5637 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

OO 5637 · ORD → AVL

took off 6:51 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 6:20 PM CT → 9:17 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at AVL that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.95 in

AVL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5637 · ORD → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?