OO 5644 · ORD → MCI

departs 2:36 PM CT · arrives 4:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.55 in

MCI (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,433 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5644 · ORD → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?