OO 5657 · ORD → PIT

departs 4:10 PM CT · arrives 6:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 47% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at PIT that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.53 in

PIT (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5657 · ORD → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?