OO 5661 · SAF → DEN

took off 11:40 AM MT · landed 12:35 PM MT (scheduled 10:30 AM MT → 12:03 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SAF that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ 10am departures from SAF are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

SAF (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.51 in

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5661 · SAF → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?