OO 5697 · DEN → ASE

departs 4:22 PM MT · arrives 5:26 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ASE?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ASE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

ASE (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5697 · DEN → ASE

Odds over time

How late will it get to ASE?