Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5700
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
OO 5700 · DEN → FSD
departs 9:10 PM MT · arrives 11:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 24%
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at FSD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FSD?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 8,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.03 in
FSD (destination)
Gusts 4 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.13 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.