OO 5776 · ASE → DEN

departs 3:25 PM MT · arrives 4:38 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

71% chance · ±13 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ASE is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

ASE (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.16 in

DEN (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5776 · ASE → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?