Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5883
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 5883 · MFR → SFO
departs 6:35 PM PT · arrives 8:07 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 23%
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SFO that day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MFR (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.