OO 5886 · DEN → SGF

departs 5:38 PM MT · arrives 8:43 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts −25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

SGF (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5886 · DEN → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?