OO 5891 · DEN → RAP

departs 2:37 PM MT · arrives 4:01 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts −18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RAP?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ 2pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RAP

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.11 in

RAP (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5891 · DEN → RAP

Odds over time

How late will it get to RAP?