OO 589 · DEN → XWA

departs 3:09 PM MT · arrives 6:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at XWA more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to XWA?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at XWA

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.35 in

XWA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 589 · DEN → XWA

Odds over time

How late will it get to XWA?