OO 5901 · ORD → FAR

departs 5:42 PM CT · arrives 7:42 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FAR?

On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 5pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ FAR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.55 in

FAR (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5901 · ORD → FAR

Odds over time

How late will it get to FAR?