OO 5903 · IAH → SGF

departs 6:41 PM CT · arrives 8:31 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.32 in

SGF (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling10,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5903 · IAH → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?