Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5929
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 5929 · SDF → ORD
departs 5:50 PM ET · arrives 6:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 77%
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4 38%
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
77%
chance · ±0 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
77%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
51%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
77%
Yes 77%
No 23%
Leave SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
28%
Over 2 hours late
19%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SDF (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.93 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.