OO 5950 · DSM → DEN

took off 11:36 AM CT · expected to land 12:01 PM MT (scheduled 11:39 AM CT → 1:00 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at DSM that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.82 in

DEN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5950 · DSM → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?