OO 6012 · ORD → FWA

departs 9:37 PM CT · arrives 11:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FWA?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FWA

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.26 in

FWA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6012 · ORD → FWA

Odds over time

How late will it get to FWA?