OO 6021 · SMF → LAX

took off 10:21 AM PT · landed 11:26 AM PT (scheduled 10:20 AM PT → 12:12 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SMF (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6021 · SMF → LAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAX?