OO 6074 · ORD → CKB

departs 4:42 PM CT · arrives 7:30 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at CKB more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±2 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CKB?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at CKB that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.90 in

CKB (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6074 · ORD → CKB

Odds over time

How late will it get to CKB?