Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6075
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
OO 6075 · EAR → ORD
departs 1:27 PM CT · arrives 3:37 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 27%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 18%
Fri 10/9 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
76%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
76%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
45%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 76% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
76%
Yes 76%
No 24%
Leave EAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 59% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
23%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
27%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 267 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at EAR that day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
EAR (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 1.5 mi
Precip 1.03 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 1.75 mi
Precip 0.95 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.