OO 6189 · ORD → COS

departs 11:17 AM CT · arrives 1:08 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?

55% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to COS?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ Gusts to 38 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at COS that day

↑ 11am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Arrivals into COS at that hour are usually not late

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.65 in

COS (destination) Gusts38 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.65 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6189 · ORD → COS

Odds over time

How late will it get to COS?