OO 6221 · COS → DFW

took off 5:53 AM MT · landed 8:33 AM CT (scheduled 5:52 AM MT → 8:57 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at COS that day

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from COS are usually not late

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts35 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.34 in

DFW (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6221 · COS → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?