OO 6239 · ORD → IDA

took off 11:49 AM CT · landed 1:35 PM MT (scheduled 11:08 AM CT → 1:48 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at IDA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to IDA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 11am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IDA

↓ IDA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.14 in

IDA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6239 · ORD → IDA

Odds over time

How late did it get to IDA?