Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6240 LANDED 12:50 PM PT, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

OO 6240 · PHX → MFR

took off 10:40 AM MT · landed 12:50 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↑ 10am departures from PHX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MFR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MFR (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6240 · PHX → MFR

Odds over time