OO 6249 · ORD → RIC

departs 4:59 PM CT · arrives 8:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.09 in

RIC (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6249 · ORD → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?