OO 6259 · DFW → SAF

departs 3:26 PM CT · arrives 4:22 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAF?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at SAF that day

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

SAF (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.83 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6259 · DFW → SAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAF?