OO 6259 · SAF → DFW

departs 4:34 PM MT · arrives 7:20 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
25%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
20%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SAF that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ SAF usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAF (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.72 in

DFW (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6259 · SAF → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?