OO 6262 · DSM → PHX

took off 2:34 PM CT · landed 3:13 PM MT (scheduled 2:26 PM CT → 3:52 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at DSM that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ DSM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.76 in

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6262 · DSM → PHX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHX?