OO 6269 · SAF → PHX

departs 12:29 PM MT · arrives 1:00 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at SAF that day

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ SAF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SAF (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.97 in

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6269 · SAF → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?