Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6271 LANDED 6:19 AM MT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

OO 6271 · DSM → PHX

took off 5:31 AM CT · landed 6:19 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at DSM that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from DSM are usually not late

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.31 in

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6271 · DSM → PHX

Odds over time