OO 6281 · ORD → BTV

departs 2:52 PM CT · arrives 6:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at BTV more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BTV?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ BTV usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.55 in

BTV (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6281 · ORD → BTV

Odds over time

How late will it get to BTV?