OO 6285 · ORD → CID

departs 12:09 PM CT · arrives 1:27 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±2 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CID?

On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 12pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at CID that day

↓ CID usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.86 in

CID (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip1.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6285 · ORD → CID

Odds over time

How late will it get to CID?