OO 6351 · DEN → PHX

departs 5:32 PM MT · arrives 6:41 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precip0.11 in

PHX (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6351 · DEN → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?