OO 6374 · PHX → DSM

took off 9:11 AM MT · landed 1:38 PM CT (scheduled 8:34 AM MT → 1:23 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DSM?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at DSM that day

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ DSM usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DSM (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6374 · PHX → DSM

Odds over time

How late did it get to DSM?