Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6387
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
OO 6387 · LAX → ASE
departs 12:43 PM PT · arrives 3:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 21%
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 15%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ASE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ASE?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
12pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
ASE (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.