OO 6392 · OKC → PHX

took off 9:05 AM CT · expected to land 9:00 AM MT (scheduled 8:59 AM CT → 9:32 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHX?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.7 in of rain forecast at OKC that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ 8am departures from OKC are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,833 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.71 in

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6392 · OKC → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?