OO 6418 · ORD → AZO

took off 1:30 PM CT · landed 2:57 PM ET (scheduled 12:57 PM CT → 3:04 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at AZO more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AZO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 12pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ AZO usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.01 in

AZO (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6418 · ORD → AZO

Odds over time

How late did it get to AZO?