OO 6433 · ABQ → SAF

took off 11:16 AM MT · landed 11:55 AM MT (scheduled 10:31 AM MT → 11:34 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SAF that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ABQ that day

↓ Arrivals into SAF at that hour are usually not late

↓ 10am departures from ABQ are usually not late

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.15 in

SAF (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.51 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6433 · ABQ → SAF

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAF?